anaheim-gazette 1959-01-22
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BY RALPH BOBET
1959 Business
We have now reviewed the general extent of the recovery to date and have briefly discussed some of the fundamental worries. On the basis of this it is possible to make actual forecasts for the coming year.
Gross national product, which is the total monetary value of all goods and services produced in the nation and which currently is at a new high, will continue to advance. This is assured through a rise in government expenditures, not only federal but state and local as well, and by continuation of the recovery. The total should advance each quarter. Estimates for the last three months of the year range between $470 and $480 billion, as compared with about $450 billion at present.
Industrial production which, according to the index of the Federal Reserve Board, was 141 in November (1947-49=100), will continue to increase and before long will be at a new high level. The recovery will be uneven, as it has up to this point, but durable manufacturers should show a good growth. This is important because this segment was hardest hit by the recession.
Total personal income is now at an all-time high and will continue to rise throughout the year. A major factor will be the upward trend of wages. With such personal income, retail trade will show a seasonally adjusted rise month after month, and at the end of the year will be appreciably above 1958.
Net farm income is officially estimated to be down. The upward again. The increase in kindle interest in, and fees for the first time. Private the 1958 figure of about 1 may even go higher if Com financing easier.
Business inventories other words the liquidation been completed.
Business investment in rise slightly in 1959. Act place in the fourth quarter until actual figures have be in other than manufacture of those three divisions is of past investments.
Unemployment will decide it will be late in 1959 before Interest rates will not it will be a slight upward.
The foreign situation w sume that there will not b policy will continue to be cations of Russia and China. exports, will be above 1958.
Finally, business profit will not come close to prev material aid to government start can be made on reduce deficit.
To summarize: 1959 will It will not be a boom year, parts of the economic sys aging rate. The year will unsolved, some of which m
growth. This is important because this segment was hardest hit by the recession.
Total personal income is now at an all-time high and will continue to rise throughout the year. A major factor will be the upward trend of wages. With such personal income, retail trade will show a seasonally adjusted rise month after month, and at the end of the year will be appreciably above 1958.
Net farm income is officially estimated to be down. The reason is that we have come to the end of a farm cycle and although crops may be excellent, farm prices will be lower and the goods and services bought by farmers will cost a little more. The estimated drop in net farm income is between 5 and 10 per cent.
Because of declining farm and food prices, the cost of living will remain relatively stable for the next few months, and the wholesale price index likewise will show little variation. Thereafter both indexes probably will start to creep
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IN THE LABORATORY
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The increase will not be sharp, but it will release interest in, and fear of, inflation.
The construction industry will rise above $50 billion
the first time. Private housing starts will increase from
1958 figure of about 1,150,000 to around 1,175,000. They
even go higher if Congress again takes action to make
financing easier.
Business inventories will rise moderately in 1959. In
our words the liquidation, for all practical purposes, has
completed.
Business investment in plant and equipment also will
slightly in 1959. Actually the turn may have taken
in the fourth quarter of 1958. That cannot be known
as actual figures have been collected. The increase will
be other than manufacturing, mining, and railroads. None
of these divisions is as yet fully utilizing the results
from investments.
Unemployment will decline gradually over the year, but
will be late in 1959 before we again have full employment.
Interest rates will not go down. If there is any change
will be a slight upward trend.
The foreign situation will remain tense. It is safe to assume that there will not be an all-out war, but our foreign
policy will continue to be dominated by the wishes and accords of Russia and China. Foreign trade, both imports and
exports, will be above 1958.
Finally, business profits will continue to improve. They
not come close to previous peaks, but growth will be of
material aid to government revenues, with the result that a
can be made on reducing the magnitude of the federal
it.
To summarize: 1959 will be materially better than 1958.
It will not be a boom year, but recovery will continue in most
of the economic system at a reasonable and encouraging rate. The year will end with many serious problems solved, some of which may be worse than they are today.
California Spends More Than Income
SACRAMENTO, Jan. 21 — The State of California spent $153.750,140 more than it took in during the first six months of the 1958-59 fiscal year. State Controller Alan Cranston reported today.
Cranston said the General Fund income for that period totaled $505,932,573 — but expenditures amounted to $659,682,713.
The fund had a cash-on-hand balance of $4,967,239 as of December 31, thanks to temporary loans of $50 million from the Architecture Revolving Fund and $20 million from the Investment Fund.
Had it not been for these loans, the fund would have shown a December 31 deficit of $65,032,761. Cranston said.
Only last week Governor Edmund G. Brown acted on Cranston's request in ordering new loans of $30 million to the General Fund — $10 million from the Architecture Revolving Fund and $20 million from the Investment Fund.
Percentage-wise over the month period, the General Fund income dropped 0.28 per cent from the total for same period of the 1957-58 year, while expenditures increased 8.33 per cent of $50,726,184.
Biggest dollar drops in revenue during the July-through-December period were $6,184,859 in retail sales tax and $3,266,084 in bank and corporation chase and income taxes.
These two sources remained General Fund's greatest revenue getters; however. The sales has accounted for $302,063,574 the total income so far this year and the bank and corporations for $66,767,589.
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CHEVY'S OUT WITH AT A NEW LOW PRICE
Here's the latest addition you'll find at your Chevrolet dealer's Open House January 22 through 24. It's a new 4-door sport sedan in the Bel Air series—and it sports a lower price tag than any other Chevy hardtop. Bring the family and look it over. And get the full story on all the other striking models now available. Remember, production is rolling and you can count on prompt delivery.
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of $30 million to the GenFund — $10 million from
Architecture Revolving Fund
$20 million from the Investt Fund.
Percentage-wise over the sixth period, the General Fund
dropped 0.28 per cent or
19,989 from the total for the
period of the 1957-58 fiscal
while expenditures increased 33 per cent of $50,726,180.
Biggest dollar drops in revenues
ing the July-through-Decemperiod were $6,184,859 in the
total sales tax and $3,266,089 in
bank and corporation francies and income taxes.
These two sources remained the
General Fund's greatest revenueers, however. The sales tax
accounted for $302,063,578 of
total income so far this year,
the bank and corporation taxor $66,767,589.
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2 - Anaheim Gazette
Anaheim, Calif., Turlus, Jan. 22, 1999
Most meteors burn up as they
race toward the earth, and they
descend merely as dust which
cannot be seen.
Ataturk, the first President of
the Turkish Republic, was not the
only member of his family to establish a "first." His adopted
daughter, Sabiha Gokcen, was
the first woman military pilot.
Mottell's and Peek
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ANAHEIM'S BLDGEST LOCALLY OWNER SAVINGS & LOAN ASSOCIATION
Chevrolet dealer’s OPEN HOUSE (January 22 through 24)
The bright new Bel Air 4-Door Sport Sedan with the same fine fresh body styling on the wheel.
The bright new Bel Air 4-Door Sport Sedan with the same fine, fresh body styling as the most luxurious Chevrolet.
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ANAHEIM, CALIFORNIA
KEystone 5-1143